Financial Analysis · Part 5 of 6

What If Seattle Buys the Arch?

The Convention Center has $25M in reserves and a $1.9B bond obligation. One restructuring path: the City buys the Arch building outright, shores up SCC's position, and Seattle Center operates it as a public commons — with separate books and no bond debt.

Hypothetical model · Based on 2024 WSCC audited financials
The Deal Structure

Three entities, one building campus

The Washington State Convention Center Public Facilities District owns two buildings: the Arch (705 & 800 Pike Street — the original convention center) and the Summit (900 Pine Street — opened 2023, financed through $1.9B in bonds backed by lodging tax). Both share a management structure — the same security team, the same facilities staff — so any split has to account for those shared operations.

The restructuring concept: The City of Seattle purchases the Arch from SCC for cash. That cash goes directly onto SCC's balance sheet, shoring up reserves that have fallen to ~$25M. SCC retains the Summit and continues running conventions. SCC can lease back the Arch for overflow conventions. The Arch is then operated by Seattle Center as a year-round public commons — programming, markets, events — with its own books and no bond debt.

Aramark contract expires January 2, 2027. The food and beverage service contract — which covers both buildings — is a natural restructuring hinge. A deal would ideally close before that date so each entity can negotiate its own food service arrangement from the start: Summit keeping a convention-grade catering model, Commons adopting a market-hall or food-court model more suited to year-round public use.

The bonds don't change in this scenario. Lodging tax still flows to bondholders. Debt service still runs ~$90M/year. The restructuring only affects the operating picture — who runs which building, who absorbs which costs, and who captures which revenues. Bond coverage depends entirely on Seattle hotel performance, as it does today.

Management Structure

The shared ops question

Security, facilities, and building management currently serve both buildings. Any restructuring has to decide who employs that shared team — and who pays whom.

Entity 1
The Summit
Convention Center
Owner: WSCC Public Facilities District
900 Pine Street
Convention revenue $30.9M
Summit parking + retail
~700 stalls · Bombo, Monorail, Piroshky, Pike Brewing
Service fee (received)

Operating expenses −$76.8M
Arch lease-back (paid to City)
Cash ops surplus/deficit
Reserves after Arch sale: · Bonds stay with SCC; lodging tax coverage unchanged.
Entity 2
The Arch
Seattle Commons
Owner: Seattle Center
705 & 800 Pike Street · operator per deal
Convention revenue (Arch share)
Arch parking garage
~1,490 stalls (68% of campus total)
Arch tenant leases
Taco Del Mar, Dog in the Park, coin shop, etc.
Public programming / events
SCC lease-back revenue
Service fee (received)

Operating expenses −$51.2M
City GO bond service
Annual surplus/deficit
City of Seattle issues GO bonds to fund the purchase — Seattle's obligation, not SCC's. WSCC PFD bonds unchanged; lodging tax still flows to bondholders.
Entity 3
Bonds
WSCC PFD bond obligation
Unchanged by restructuring
Seattle lodging tax (7%) $93.5M
KC extended (2.8%) $6.4M

Debt service (interest + principal) −$90M
BAB federal subsidy +$5M
Bond coverage ratio ~1.17×
The City buying the Arch does not affect bond covenants. Lodging tax is pledged to bondholders regardless of building ownership.

Adjust the deal terms

Move the sliders to explore how sale price, cost allocation, and revenue assumptions change the books for each entity. The management scenario above affects who pays the service fee but not the total cost envelope.

Default assumptions — $150M sale, 40% Arch cost share, $8M shared ops fee.
Deal Terms & Allocations
Arch sale price $150M
$50M$500M
Current SCC reserves: ~$25M. At this price, post-sale reserves reach ~$175M.
Arch operating cost share 40%
20% (Arch-lite)60% (Arch-heavy)
Default 40% — Arch (705 + 800 Pike) is 434,988 sq ft total event space (SCC floor plans, 2024); Summit is ~574K sq ft. Arch share ≈ 43%. Summit is newer and larger; Arch may carry higher per-sq-ft maintenance on older systems.
Shared ops base rate (at 40% load) $8M/yr
$0 (clean break)$25M/yr base
Fee paid by the entity that doesn't employ the shared ops team. Scales with building load — if Arch cost share rises above 40%, the shared team works more hours and the effective fee rises proportionally.
Arch restaurant leases $0.6M/yr
$0$5M/yr
Arch tenants (Taco Del Mar, Dog in the Park, coin shop, etc.) are older/possibly grandfathered leases — likely lower rate than Summit's Bombo or Pike Brewing. Audit does not break out by building.
Commons programming revenue $5M/yr
$0$20M/yr
Seattle Center's Fisher Pavilion generates ~$3–5M/yr at similar scale.
Annual lease-back (SCC pays City) $2M/yr
$0$10M/yr
SCC's cost to use Arch for overflow conventions. Revenue to Commons; cost to SCC.
SCC spend-back commitment 0%
0% (none)50% of sale price
City says "name your price — but commit to spend X% of it back through City-managed contracts over 15 years." Events, catering, facility services. Reduces City's net bond burden. Most relevant in Clean Break (no shared-ops fee). Applies to all scenarios.
Mgmt scenario
SCC / Summit
Post-sale reserves
$175M
Current + sale proceeds
Annual ops result
Cash surplus / deficit
Runway at this rate
Reserves ÷ annual deficit
Commons / Arch
Annual ops result
Cash surplus / deficit
City GO bond service
4.5% / 30 yr · scales with sale price
Commons viable?
Ops surplus or subsidy needed
Shared Ops
Effective fee
scales with building load
Direction
who pays whom
All figures are estimates derived from 2024 WSCC audited financials. Arch cost share (default 40%) is an assumption — the audit does not break out expenses by building. Convention revenue split uses the same 40/60 Arch/Summit assumption. Shared ops fee direction depends on the management scenario selected above. This model omits depreciation (non-cash) and focuses on operating cash flow.
Deal summary · updates with sliders above
$175M
SCC reserves after deal
up from $25M today
21 yrs
SCC reserve runway
at current burn rate
−$1.1M/yr
Commons annual shortfall
city's cost to operate the Arch
$5M/yr
New public programming
civic activation of the Arch
Model Assumptions

What we know and what we're estimating

Item Value Source / Confidence
Audited figures (2024)
Total SCC operating expenses $128M 2024 WSCC PFD audit, p.15 (incl. $52.9M depreciation)
SCC operating cash burn (ex-depreciation) ~$75M $128M minus $52.9M non-cash — cross-checks with audit p.16 cash flows
Convention-dependent revenue $51.5M 2024 audit p.15 (food/bev, event services, rentals combined)
Parking revenue $4.1M 2024 audit p.15 — "3 garages, 2,150 stalls." Arch garage ~1,490 stalls (≈$2.8M); Summit garage ~700 stalls (≈$1.3M). Model splits proportionally by stall count. (Third garage may be Freeway Park.)
Retail leases & other revenue $3.0M 2024 audit p.15 — single line item, not broken out by building. Summit (900 Pine) tenants: Bombo, Monorail Espresso, Piroshky Piroshky, Pike Brewing — newer leases, high foot traffic. Arch (705 Pike) tenants: Taco Del Mar, Dog in the Park, Espresso Caffé Dior, Ethioblue, Stamp & Coin Shop — older/lower-rate leases, possibly grandfathered. Summit share is likely larger. Modeled with slider.
Total lodging tax received $99.9M Seattle 7%; 2024 audit p.15
KC extended lodging tax $6.4M 2024 audit p.15 (2.8% rate on King County hotels)
Annual debt service ~$90M 2024 audit p.16 (~$75.1M interest + ~$14.8M principal)
SCC reserves (cash + short-term) ~$25M CEO public statement, Feb 2026; consistent with audit p.14
Estimated / assumed (model inputs)
Arch share of operating costs Default: 40% Estimate — audit does not break out by building. Arch is larger; Summit is older. Range: 20–60%.
Arch sale price Default: $150M No public appraisal. Arch cost ~$1.9B to build; sale would reflect operating economics, not replacement cost.
City GO bond financing 4.5% / 30 yr Seattle would issue General Obligation bonds to fund the purchase — no realistic cash alternative. At $150M sale price: ~$9.2M/yr debt service. Rate fixed for model purposes; actual rate depends on market and bond structure at time of issuance.
Commons programming revenue Default: $5M/yr Estimate — Seattle Center Fisher Pavilion comparable. Highly dependent on programming model.
Annual lease-back (SCC → City) Default: $2M/yr Estimate — depends on frequency SCC needs overflow space and negotiated rate.
Shared ops fee $8M/yr base (at 40% load) Estimate — covers shared labor: security, facilities (electric/plumbing), transportation coordinators, cross-building setup and admission crew. ~10–15% of $75M cash opex. Scales with building load: modeled as base rate × (Arch cost share / 40%), so busier building = higher fee. Parking attendants split by garage and are already in the parking revenue allocation, not this fee. Direction and union complexity depends on management scenario.
Unknown / TBD
Aramark replacement model TBD Contract expires Jan 2, 2027. Summit could retain convention catering; Commons could adopt food-hall model.
Bond covenant review TBD Does selling Arch trigger covenant review? Legal analysis needed.
State PFD authorization requirements TBD WSCC is a state PFD — sale may require legislature or PFD board approval.